While the Hoosiers have just 1 win since the end of September, they have covered 3 straight games – including an outright win over Wisconsin while catching 7.5. He has 9 turnover-worthy plays in 146 dropbacks and is averaging just 5.8 yards per completion in 9 games. The Spartans are riddled with injuries and their offense is being led by Katin Houser – who has the third-worst PPF passer grade of all Big Ten quarterbacks to take a snap this season. The Spartans are now 2-5-1 ATS as an underdog, and I do not anticipate that improving this week against the Hoosiers. The Buckeyes out-gained the Spartans 530-182 and held Michigan State to just 3.5 yards per pass and 2 of 14 on third downs. Things were tough for the Spartans last week in Columbus, where they lost 38-3 with most of the damage coming in the first half. Michigan State faces its 2nd consecutive road game and 3rd in 4 weeks when it travels to Bloomington, Indiana to play the Hoosiers.
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